By Chuks Iloegbunam
Everyone must keep their eyes on the ball. Muhammadu Buhari has,
with little drama, slipped into Phase
Two of his presidency. Given the texture of Phase One, this new phase could deliver somberness and
dissemblance. For those who didn’t get it, or who pretend after the fact not to
have gotten it, Buhari’s Phase One stressed one point: All that glitters is not
gold. It wasn’t that people were unaware of the possibility of stuff like
clay, rubber and wood glinting on account of some polish. It was that the
hoopla that attended the shimmer of the recycled “gemstone” was unprecedented.
But, as Nigerians would say it, after
the race, the calculation of the distance covered! There were scores of
experts in calculus at the starting point. Strangely, what had been hyped as
one joyous calculators’ adventure quickly came to grief, reason being that
there was precious little to mark on the achievements’ margin. Good promises,
like candy bars, had of course, been made to be broken.
There had been (or hadn’t there been?) a number of warning voices
in those heady days of the change mantra’s eruption, Sputnik-like, raring to
tear into and through outer space. One of such voices – that of Chukwuma
Charles Soludo – wasn’t even oppositional to the touted humankind’s final hope.
This was Professor Soludo a month to the presidential ballot: “The APC promises to create 20,000 jobs per
state in the first year, totaling a mere 720,000 jobs. This sounds like a quota
system and for a country where the new entrants into the labour market per annum
exceed two million. If it was intended as a joke, APC must please get serious…”
“Did I hear that APC promises
a welfare system that will pay between N5,000 and N10,000 per month to the
poorest 25 million Nigerians? Just this programme alone will cost between N1.5
and N3 trillion per annum. Add to this the cost of free primary education plus
free meal (to be funded by the federal budget or would it force non-APC state
governments to implement the same?), plus some millions of public housing, etc.
I have tried to cost some of the promises by both the APC and the PDP, given
alternative scenarios for public finance and the numbers don’t add up.
Nigerians would be glad to know how both parties would fund their programmes.
Do they intend to accentuate the huge public debt, or raise taxes on the soon
to-be-beleaguered private businesses, or massively devalue the naira to rake in
baskets of naira from the dwindling oil revenue, or embark on huge fiscal
retrenchment with the sack of labour and abandonment of projects…
“The presidential election
will be won by either Buhari or Jonathan. For either, it is likely to be a
pyrrhic victory. None of them will be able to deliver on the fantastic
promises being made on the economy, and if oil prices remain below $60, I see
very difficult months ahead, with possible heady collisions with labour, civil
society, and indeed the citizenry.”
Well, the chickens since came home to roost. Nearly one year after
assuming power, the APC is yet to create a single job, apart from the political
appointments distributed to party stalwarts! Power supply across the country
has dipped to lowest point in recent memory. The media “war” against corruption
is yet to produce its first convict. The party even denied its manifesto,
including My Covenant With Nigeria, which Muhammadu Buhari had personally
signed. All their fanciful promises disappeared into thin air.
In the giddiness of APC’s abysmal failures, which were consistently
and disingenuously blamed on ex-President Jonathan, something unexpected
happened. President Buhari found in his dictionary a hitherto nonexistent word:
apology! This was the President at the
recent National Executive Committee (NEC) meeting of the APC: “We gave a blanket order which we had to
rescind when we said all boards are suspended or dissolved. We had to go back
and lick our vomit in terms of university boards because we found out that
according to their laws, they cannot choose Vice Chancellors unless the Boards
sit down, interview prospective candidates who want to be VCs. So, there is
nothing wrong in saying sorry and going back on your decision. So, we said
sorry...”
Saying sorry may have to do with dismounting high horses. But, was
the Justice Ministry on vacation when the President donned the dictator’s toga?
Buhari was even profounder in his Easter message: “Our unfortunate notoriety in recent years
as a country where the blood of men, women and children are wantonly and
callously shed in frequent orgies of criminal, political, ethnic and religious
violence has become very embarrassing and utterly unacceptable. My
administration is determined to achieve greater peace and security across our
nation by ending the avoidable conflicts and crises that hinder our national
progress. I ask for greater support from all Nigerians in this regard. We must
put a stop to politically motivated killings. Our communities must be made
safe again for all inhabitants to live together in peace and harmony.”
The President’s apology and his condemnation of bloodletting could
indicate a vista of national hope. But cracks mustn’t be papered over. What
does one make of a President who promised preferential governance based on
presidential voting patterns now seeking “support from all Nigerians”?
Besides, is President Buhari not the Commander-in-Chief of the troops that have
been massacring peaceful and unarmed pro-Biafra agitators? Or, doesn’t that
constitute wanton bloodletting? Is the mowing down of hundreds of Shia’s in Zaria not wanton
bloodletting? It must be recognized that the route out of bloodletting is
paved, not with heavy-handedness, but with justice.
A different apprehension is that Buhari’s Phase Two appears, like Janus, to be two-faced. While the President
sang sweet-sounding songs, Asiwaju Ahmed Bola Tinubu, the man who covets the
trophy of making Buhari President, showed the other face of the APC, the
fractious one. Tinubu’s visceral attack on Dr. Ibe Kachikwu, the NNPC boss,
revealed the cantankerous underbelly of a party deep in the orgy of long
knives, a proposition laden with conjectures. Even more disturbing is the
exposure of the chasm between the perceptions of the leaders and the led. “The fuel shortage is severely biting for
the average person,” declared Tinubu. “They
are forced to remain in lines for far too long, for too much time, to pay too
much money for too little fuel.”
Well, Tinubu fired blanks. Acute fuel scarcity, a characteristic of
the Buhari administration, afflicts less and more than Tinubu’s “average
person”. It is a pervasive scourge, the direct consequence of political myopia
and systemic failure, which, except for the purposes of sorting vested
interests, isn’t blameable on any one functionary. It gifts prophecy: If
governance doesn’t become creative, if justice isn’t enthroned to equalize
Nigerian citizenship, and if soldiers escalate partisanship where only
rightful votes should count, any prayer for an end to sacrifices at Moloch’s Altar
already went unanswered. In which regard pertinent lines from W. B. Yeats’ “The
Second Coming” could command more appeal, portending imponderables for
Buhari: Phase Three.
*Chuks Iloegbunam, an eminent essayist and author is
a columnist with a national newspaper
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