By Steve Nwosu
The
dizzying pace at which mundane things are elevated to national prominence has
since made me lose sense of what is right and what is wrong. So, to keep my
sanity, I’ve since concluded that every one is right. All correct, sir!
If you say the economy is in
recession, you’re correct. If you prefer to live in denial and insist that
there is no recession, you’re also correct. Hameed Ali versus the Senators?
Magu versus the Senators? Hospitalised El-Rufai versus convalescing Buhari? All correct!
But there is one thing I have a
fairly clear head about. And that is what is the mess the Peoples Democratic
Party (PDP) has brought upon itself.
Now, if there is anything the
PDP is very good at – apart from impunity, it is the uncanny ability to snatch
defeat from the jaws of victory (apologies: Chinua Achebe). Of course, I don’t
expect the All Progressives Congress (APC) people to gloat at that, because
everything that was wrong with PDP is beginning to appear in APC.
However, the PDP is a master of
the art of self-destruct!
When it was in government, it was fighting itself, providing opposition to its own government. And now that it is out of power, it has contrived to produce a most fractious split right down its middle. And even as the simple solution to its problem stares it in the face, it’s looking with eyes wide shut.
When it was in government, it was fighting itself, providing opposition to its own government. And now that it is out of power, it has contrived to produce a most fractious split right down its middle. And even as the simple solution to its problem stares it in the face, it’s looking with eyes wide shut.
It is fixated at a Supreme
Court that does not hold any promise of good news.
Yes, soon after the Appeal Court
verdict that upheld Sen. Ali Modu Sheriff’s claim to the party’s chairmanship,
the Sen. Ahmed Makarfi faction appealed the judgment, and is now expecting a
favourable ruling from the apex court.
But, irrespective of whatever
direction the pendulum swings at the apex court, the PDP would still be the
loser. But we’ll return to that later.
As for the Appeal court
judgment, many of us, who know little about law are still dumbfounded by what
happened. For one, it was rather an oddity that while the lead judgment, which
gave victory to Sheriff, was hand-written and delivered in a few minutes, the
dissenting judgment was carefully typed, ran into several pages and took about
two hours to deliver. So, the thinking in the ‘losing’ camp now is that
minority verdict may indeed have been the main judgment that got switched at
the last minute. But that is in the realm of conjecture.
There is also the
not-too-little issue of the use of the party’s national secretariat, the Wadata Plaza .
When Makarfi was the legally recognised chairman of the party (even in
caretaker capacity), the police, an agency of the Presidency, barricaded Wadata
Plaza, denying Makarfi access to the secretariat, but as soon as Sheriff got
his own judgment, the police literally supervised his takeover of the
headquarters. It gives the impression that whatever Sheriff is doing in PDP is
at the instance of the APC-led central government. Of course, there have also
been rumours of the APC/Presidency actually funding Sheriff. But this is a
little hard to fathom, considering that Sheriff, on his own, has enough money
to keep PDP unsettled for the next 60 years. In fact, his legendary deep
pockets were believed to be the reason some governors wanted to draft him into
the chairmanship in the first instance.
Today, however, it is very
clear that many PDP stakeholders cannot fathom the idea of Sheriff running
their party. They feel he carries a huge moral burden, which any intelligent
rival party can always capitalise on, when the chips are down. And I’m not
talking about all the unsubstantiated dalliance with the Boko Haram insurgents.
There is also a huge trust deficit. In the short romance Sheriff has had with
Governors Nyesom Wike and Ayo Fayose (both of whom have been held responsible
for drafting him into the PDP chairmanship race in the first place) for
instance, the former Borno governor is said to have reneged on so many
gentleman agreements that the two governors, and several other key leaders of
the party, do not want anything to do with him. They don’t trust him. But then,
trust is such an expensive commodity and it would be naïve to expect to find it
among cheap politicians.
Incidentally, Bayelsa State
governor, Hon. Henry Seriake Dickson, who chairs the party’s reconciliation
committee, and who is today being mischievously branded as a Sheriff supporter,
never liked the idea of a Sheriff chairmanship. He believed more in Makarfi
Painfully, however, Sheriff has an Appeal
Court judgment, declaring him substantive chairman
of the party – which compelled Dickson, himself a lawyer, to submit the report
of his committee to the former Borno governor, who, as we speak, is the legally
recognised leader of the party.
But then, Sheriff would be
deceiving himself if thinks the court verdict would automatically make PDP
members queue behind him. No. The party members still know who their leaders
are. Most of them are with Makarfi. But there’s a huge difference between
emotions and law. And that is what Dickson has continued to point out, as he
continues to push the template for a political resolution of the PDP crises.
The argument is simple:
Irrespective of how the Supreme Court case goes, PDP would still need to
come back to the round table. For if they wait until the apex court rules, it
might be too late to pick the pieces of PDP back together.
If the Makarfi faction wins,
Sheriff wouldn’t be expected to suddenly fall into line. The party would remain
eternally factionalised. Sheriff could even leave the party. And he would
definitely not be going alone. For whether we like it or not, there is a
handful of notable PDP entities in his camp.
Similarly, if Supreme Court
confirms Sheriff, he could even become more emboldened and less disposed to any
other political solution. He would hound his opponents out of the party and
complete the ‘undertaker’ job he was always suspected to have been seconded by
the APC to do in PDP. Where would that leave the people in the Makarfi camp?
And what about those currently sitting on the fence? Is the alternative
Advanced-PDP? No!
So, I think, now may be the
last chance for the leaders of the party to come together and rescue their
party. One is impressed by the frenzy of visits by all parties – Makarfi,
Sheriff, Dickson, etc. to founding fathers and other informal leaders of the
party. The hope is that everyone would resolve to make some sacrifice for the
sake of the party, before another court verdict throws spanner into the works.
The idea of a unity convention recommended by the Dickson committee looks very inviting, especially as Sheriff is said to have committed (in writing) not to run for the chairmanship. He has also thrown open nominations for the convention committee to the party’s organs. By the time the Makarfi camp makes some concessions too, then the PDP can begin to talk of a new dawn. It’s doable. Instead of splitting hairs over how the Dickson committee report was not skewed against Sheriff, the PDP factions should see in it, a window of opportunity to save their party, and embrace it.
The idea of a unity convention recommended by the Dickson committee looks very inviting, especially as Sheriff is said to have committed (in writing) not to run for the chairmanship. He has also thrown open nominations for the convention committee to the party’s organs. By the time the Makarfi camp makes some concessions too, then the PDP can begin to talk of a new dawn. It’s doable. Instead of splitting hairs over how the Dickson committee report was not skewed against Sheriff, the PDP factions should see in it, a window of opportunity to save their party, and embrace it.
For me, however, the future of
PDP lies in first easing out both Makarfi and Sheriff, without causing any of
them to lose face, as it were. That solution does not lie with the courts. For
until the various stakeholders resolve to close ranks, the PDP would still be
in turmoil irrespective of who wins at the Supreme Court.
That turmoil would persist so
much that the party would never be able to genuinely field a candidate for
elections. About two or three list of candidates would be sent to the Independent
National Electoral Commission (INEC) for every election and, trust INEC, they
would endorse the list of candidates with the unlikeliest chance of winning.
In fact, this much-awaited
Supreme Court judgment could be the final death knell for the PDP if the
leaders do not begin work on Plan B right away. That Plan B is dialogue.
Political solution.
*Steve Nwosu is a
commentator on public issues
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