By Idowu Oyebanjo
The issues surrounding
cost reflective tariffs in NESI has remained unresolved even though it seemed
all stakeholders acknowledged it but did nothing about coming together to deal
with the issue which has kept the reform process in limbo since February 2016!
This is about to change.
The two most important stakeholders in the business of electricity supply in Nigeria are the "demons" - those who believe that having a stable electricity situation in Nigeria will mean a huge loss of cash flow for them and their families and the customers who will actually pay the monies defined by any "cost reflective tariff", short-changed without meters but made impoverished by the corruption based estimated billing system which holds way today in NESI. The demons may include "Generator" importers, marketers, repair technicians and those involved in businesses connected with the scarcely available gas and oil (fuel for most power generating plants) such as marketers of petroleum products and the vandals who destroy gas pipelines to earn income from those who carry out repair works or those who gain political scores therefrom. These two groups of stakeholders have been grossly and arrogantly neglected when decisions are made for them or because of them.
The two most important stakeholders in the business of electricity supply in Nigeria are the "demons" - those who believe that having a stable electricity situation in Nigeria will mean a huge loss of cash flow for them and their families and the customers who will actually pay the monies defined by any "cost reflective tariff", short-changed without meters but made impoverished by the corruption based estimated billing system which holds way today in NESI. The demons may include "Generator" importers, marketers, repair technicians and those involved in businesses connected with the scarcely available gas and oil (fuel for most power generating plants) such as marketers of petroleum products and the vandals who destroy gas pipelines to earn income from those who carry out repair works or those who gain political scores therefrom. These two groups of stakeholders have been grossly and arrogantly neglected when decisions are made for them or because of them.
This
is not to say there are no other important stakeholders like the government, CBN,
NERC, Ministry of Power, consumer advocacy groups, ANED, NBET, DISCOs, GENCOs,
TCN, foreign investors, local Banks, to mention but a few. The senate has
thrown its weight behind the consumers of electricity declaring to put a stop
to the recurring spate of bail out for which we predicted will become the lot
of the ill-conceived, wrongly timed electricity market conjectured by some
unqualified Nigerians who mediated the reform process. But there is always a
time to make a U-turn in life when one is confirmed to be headed in the wrong
direction. It is a question how far wrong is one prepared to go before doing
the needful. In this regard, it is pertinent to examine the just released
framework for petroleum products supply, distribution and pricing in May 2016
by the Federal Ministry of Petroleum Resources.
The Ministry has set a
new price regime to solve the recurrent fuel scarcity by ensuring availability
of products at all locations in the country to enhance market stability and
improve fuel supply by proposing a price regime that will enhance private
sector participation but also in a way that is clear, logical and transparent.
It is left to see whether consumer groups and their representatives were
carried along and or whether labour will accede to the new price regime but
this is not the subject of this article. The lesson to be learnt is in the
detail.
Idowu Oyebanjo |
When carried out
holistically, such a "true" cost of electricity will factor in the
cost of running and maintaining generators, the estimated hourly wage of the
average Nigerian, the average price of electricity in countries with
uninterrupted power supplies (there will always be power cuts anywhere in the
world), the true cost of gas, cost of technical and commercial losses on the
network, the impact of distributed generation, other associated costs in
converting fuel to energy and transporting same to consumers, the average cost
of exporting gas and electricity to other African countries and more.
Monitoring and modulation will include enforcing the rules for strict
compliance by stakeholders and re-evaluation of the "true" cost from
time to time as local refining capacity of petroleum products is enhanced for
example. The expectation then is that foreign investors and the private sector
will be willing to commit to NESI. In all of these, the role of human capital
resource requirement to handle the day-to-day operation of the functional
electrical power system that will result must not be overlooked.
The regulatory regime
must serve the interest of the people and provide benefits to all stakeholders.
A comprehensive study of the cost of products and services within the
electricity supply value chain is a must before Nigeria should think of having a
stable electricity market that will create and reflect a truly privatised
electricity supply industry. What we have now is chaos!
* Idowu Oyebanjo CEng MNSE MIET writes from the United Kingdom (Email: oyebanjoidowu@yahoo.com)
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