By Olu Fasan
Nothing agitates me about Nigeria more
than its parlous state and uncertain future. So, it’s a huge privilege to be
asked to write for this great newspaper, a welcomed opportunity to use its
respected medium to contribute to public discourse on the state of the nation!
The questioning of institutions and received wisdom is a
democratic virtue, and a skeptical lack of deference towards leaders is the
first step to reform. So, this column will provoke thought and speak truth to
power. In that spirit, and to set the scene for future discussions, I want to
use the column’s debut to draw attention to an issue that should concern every
well-meaning Nigerian: the fragility of this country and its worrisome lack of
progress.
The truth, let’s face it, is that *President Buhari |
Earlier this year, Nigeria was
ignominiously named the “poverty capital of the world”, having overtaken India as
the country with the largest number of extremely poor people. Nigeria has 87m
people, nearly half its population, living in extreme poverty compared with India ’s 73m, even though India ’s
population is 1.3bn.
In its 2016 Country RepTrak Index, the Reputation Institute
listed Nigeria among
the 16 countries with the worst reputation in the world. What’s more, Nigeria now
qualifies as a fragile state.
Recently, Oxford University and
the London School of Economics published a joint report, titled “Escaping the
fragility trap”, in which they identified six “symptoms of fragility”. They
are: (1) security threat from organised non-state violence; (2) government
lacks legitimacy in the eyes of many citizens; (3) state has weak capacity for
essential functions; (4) environment for private investment is unattractive;
(5) economy is exposed to shocks with little resilience; (6) Deep divisions in
the society.
Looking at the above symptoms vis-à-vis Nigeria ,
it’s clear that this country fits the fragility bill. For instance, with the
spread and impunity of Boko Haram and the marauding herdsmen, few will disagree
that Nigeria faces
multiple threats from organised non-state violence and that the government is
ill-equipped to respond effectively to the security threats.
Truth is, Nigeria lacks
state capacity and can’t deliver basic services to its citizens. Indeed, this
country has one of the worst public sectors or bureaucracies in Africa , which is linked to the fact that it
is one of the worst places to do business in the world. And, of course, as a
country that depends on oil for 96% of its export and more than 75% of its
revenue, Nigeria is
one of the world’s most volatile economies, with its economy exposed to shocks.
And, finally: deep division in the society.
Well, can anyone
deny that this country is socially and politically divided, deeply polarised
along ethnic and religious lines? Unity and social cohesion elude Nigeria .
So, based on the international measurements of state fragility, Nigeria is
a fragile state!
But why isNigeria ,
with its huge human and natural resources, still stuck in the poverty and
fragility traps 58 years after becoming an independent nation? Why is this
country stuck on a treadmill – going nowhere fast – with virtually no
significant progress? Surely, the problem is not lack of a talent pool. Today,
as ever, Nigerians are holding prominent positions in international
organisations and foreign governments all over the world.
But why is
As Charles Hauss wrote in his book Comparative Politics, “Nigeria ’s
problems cannot be attributed to a shortage of talented people”. He then
went on to say that “Nigeria ’s
problems rest with the behaviour of the people who fill key positions”.
Of course, the leaders/followers dichotomy is not that simple
because, in the end, as Joseph de Maistre rightly put it, people get the
government (leaders) they deserve. But the governance structure of every
country, its institutions, can constrain behaviours and shape progress. Which
is why serious countries don’t put trust in individual leaders but build
structures, robust institutions, that ensure that good governance becomes
routine.
And it is why, truth be told, Nigeria must
be restructured. Without restructuring this country, it will remain on a
treadmill, stuck perpetually in the poverty and fragility traps!
*Fasan is a commentator on public issues
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