By Ike Abonyi
Soon after the first National Convention of
the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in Jos, Plateau State in 1998 during which
Olusegun Obasanjo emerged the presidential flag-bearer of the party after
defeating the bookmakers’ choice former Vice President Alex Ekwueme, I recall
interviewing a top Igbo politician who later became governor to explain to me
why he and some Igbo voted against Ekwueme, their kinsman.
*Obasanjo |
In his response to my
question he smiled and said, “the only reason why vehicle manufacturers put various
levels of gear is to enable the driver change when one gear is not coping.
"In politics there are
various levels of gears, you as a good driver should know when to change to the
next level.
“We all went to Jos,
driving on one gear but as things unfolded we saw the need to apply the other
gear and that was what happened.”
Since then as a
political journalist I have always had this political education at the back of
my mind when looking at the behaviour of every Nigerian politician particularly
in studying the politics of Nigeria ’s
former President Obasanjo.
Over the years I have
come to realise that one Nigerian politician you take for granted at your own
peril is Chief Obasanjo.
All those who
overlooked him politically paid dearly for it. The Awoists, the core Yoruba
politicians under the tutelage of the late Yoruba political sage, Chief Obafemi
Awolowo, took Obasanjo for granted and thought of him as an inconsequential
politician.
But since he came to
the scene the group never remained intact to make the desired and deserving
impact. Instead it is he Obasanjo who has become the most successful Yoruba
politician going by the records of his achievements and accolades.
The other person who
took him for granted and got a thorough flagellation for it is his former Vice
Atiku Abubakar.
After helping the then
naive Obasanjo to navigate the country’s political space between 1999 and 2003,
Atiku held the political machinery and almost dethroned Obasanjo but made the
mistake of his life by giving him the benefit of doubt.
The attack he launched
on Atiku after retrieving the machinery from him could only require a sagacious
political wizard like the former number two man to still be standing and
relevant afterwards.
This great man is one
person who has fashioned a technique of always having his way politically. He
hardly can be on the same position with you on any issue for long.
Since he ruled this
country as a military Head of State from 1976 to 1979 he has never been a fan
of any government in power.
He appears more at
home speaking against governments than praising them. When General Ibrahim
Babangida was in power he delivered serial lectures against the government
talking about government and human face.
When Late General Sani
Abacha came on he was such a thorn in his government’s flesh that the no
nonsense dictator felt he should be quarantined.
General Abdulsalami
Abubakar’s regime was the only one sparred ostensibly because it was the
government that pulled him out of dungeon to Aso Villa. Obasanjo is so full of
himself and he never failed to show it.
At a point he was
quoted as saying that there were only two honest Nigeria leaders himself and
General Muhammedu Buhari, it’s not certain if he would still say the same of
Buhari today.
When he came to power
as a civilian President, he said nothing was added to what he left behind as a
military Head of State.
With such bogus image
of himself coming from prison to rule, after eight years he was well justified
to feel that nobody was fitter than him to hold the mantle of leadership. Since
the constitution allowed him only two terms he began the process of amending it
to allow for a third term to enable the only “messiah” in the land continue in
office.
When this failed
thanks to the combined efforts of plurality of Nigerians he became literarily
angry on the country. His vice, Atiku, who could have been a beneficiary of a
successful transfer of power and our democracy would have blossomed instead
became a victim.
Rather than Atiku to
succeed him, Obasanjo went for an obviously disinterested pair of late Umaru
Yar’Adua and Goodluck Jonathan making sure that none of those ambitious ones
like Atiku, Peter Odili among others got the job.
He ignored criticism
that Yar’Adua was too ill for the job. Critics argued then that he actually
needed politically handicapped persons like Yar’Adua (sick) and Jonathan
(naive) so that he would continue to wield influence and keep his godfather
role alive.
But even before
Yar’Adua died the duo have fallen out as the Katsina born Fulani man could not
imagine even in dying bed relegate his presidential power to him. When he died
and power was inevitably domiciled in Jonathan, the great man thought it would
be easier since he (Jonathan) showed a lot of timidity even on the throne.
But when he could not
play ball as had expected Obasanjo turned the heat on him with blistering
attacks on his government. In addition to the scorching letters he wrote
berating his administration he also resigned as Chairman, Board of Trustees
(BoT) of his party and topped it by publicly tearing his membership card.
He quickly joined the
campaign to stop Jonathan second term and dumped him and his party for the All
Progressives Congress (APC) and its flag bearer, Buhari.
In desperation to stop
Jonathan he found himself romancing with hitherto political enemies in APC with
the likes of Atiku, former Lagos State Governor Bola Tinubu, and former Rivers
State Governor Rotimi Amaechi whom he had stopped from being governor because
of his K-leg interpretation that Supreme Court later strengthened.
As Buhari made it to
the throne, Obasanjo made no pretence to the fact that it was him and few
others that made it possible.
He remained the
greatest influence of the administration. He was always in the Aso Villa. But
despite that Buhari government refused to separate his administration from
other PDP’s in his blame game. Instead he continued to lump all the 16 years of
PDP as a huge waste for Nigeria .
This did not go down
well with an egoistic Obasanjo who found it a good opening to return to his
preferred habitat of attacking governments.
He fired the first
salvo on the regime chastising them for not doing much and always complaining.
It was from this backdrop that many political watchers viewed last week’s visit
of Jonathan to Ibogun, Obasanjo’s village where he was given a red carpet
reception as another action from the good political driver who knows when to
change gear.
Obasanjo surprised all
who are aware of his relationship with Jonathan when he poured encomiums on him
as a great Nigerian who showed exemplary leadership. Nigerians are asking what
did Jonathan do to cause this turnaround from his chief critic.
But the answer is
obvious: Jonathan is no longer in power and is willing to continue to “worship”
Obasanjo politically despite everything more so when Jonathan in his new found
image of an international statesman does not want to again take Obasanjo for
granted as he is still capable of further damages.
If the South-West
politicians knew that Obasanjo was going to come this far when he appeared in
the nation’s political scene as a naive retired General, their approach to him
would have been different.
There are dozens of
reasons why many Nigerians would not like this man Obasanjo but you cannot
remove from him the incontrovertible fact that he has become one of Nigeria’s
greatest political game changer who knows where and when to stand at any given
time. Is he trying to stand with the Igbo in 2019? Too early to tell.
*Ike
Abonyi is a commentator on public issues
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