There are also the unquantifiable losses of both aquatic and
human lives (there was a report of boat mishap whose news threw the entire
nation in mourning) to far-flung Taraba, Nasarawa, Kogi, Cross River, Rivers,
Edo, Delta, Lagos, Bayelsa and environs where the flood crises left behind
tales and trails of terrors of death and other unspeakable consequences.
Elsewhere, there are reports of how the ravaging flood had
overrun and split major access roads and highways, obstructing vehicular and
commercial movements as root channels became practically impassable. Heavy
industrial installations were damaged, leading to the temporary closure of the
Nigeria Liquefied Natural Gas, NLNG, and other relevant downstream operations.
Reports from certain quarters revealed the threat of an epidemic. For instance,
the United Nations has reported the possible outbreak of cholera in northeast
Nigeria associated with the widespread contamination of water sources, as a
result of the spread of sewage, refuse, and industrial effluents.
Apparently, flooding remains the most common, natural disaster
in Nigeria. Flooding as a national problem is largely leadership-inflicted,
with adverse, unquantifiable economic and emotional effects on the masses. For
instance, the Nigeria Hydrological Services Agency, NIHSA, typically releases
an Annual Flood Outcome, AFO, that shows flood-prone zones and peak flood
seasons, nationwide.
Such a report, no doubt, is to enhance preparation for flood
mitigation and management in states, particularly those at risk of flooding.
However, state authorities are either accused of not being proactive enough or
ignoring the seasonal prediction and early warning altogether. In effect, most
state authorities still grapple with the problem of enforcing compliance with
the NIHSA guidelines.
I was literally a prophet when I predicted that the deep open
drainage system constructed at Ugbowo axis of the Benin-Lagos road, during
President Goodluck Jonathan’s administration would not only be a death trap for
vehicular and human activities but also be filled with garbage and sand in a
couple of months. It happened. But this is the usual situation nationwide. The
question is, why would governments of the day, who claim to be people-centric
leave existing drainage systems in such a deplorable condition, even with the
red flags of impending flood danger from NIHSA? The truth is, with the right
priorities, governments have the resources to clear up waterways leading to
local canals, clean up and make deeper existing drainage systems to become more
efficient.
Also, natural flow channels leading to the major sea should be
dredged periodically. To support these natural links, well-designed artificial
channels should be constructed in line with the local topography connecting to
the seas. State governments, particularly those situated in the Niger River
Delta namely, Edo, Bayelsa, Ekiti, Ondo, Osun, Rivers, Taraba as well as Cross
River, should curb unbridled deforestation of their rainforest and wildlife
resources, as these have natural water-absorbing capacities and are to a large
extent sources of flood mitigation.
In September 2022, the Cameroonian authorities opened overflow
spillways at Lagdo Dam to ease the pressure on the dam from the rising
reservoir (UN’s International Organisation for Migration, IOM). This particular
release of excess water from the Lagdo dam in Northern Cameroon province
coincided with the start of the flash flood ravaging many states in Nigeria.
History has it that the Lagdo Dam was completed in 1982 by the Cameroonian
government, but its failure to contain and check excess water which flooded
Nigeria’s towns and villages in the same period led to the feasibility study to
build the Dasin Hausa dam in Adamawa which was meant to be 2 ½ times the size
of Lagdo Dam. It was meant to serve as a shock absorber for the sudden release
of excess water from the Lagdo dam, generate some 300 Megawatts of electricity,
and provide irrigation for over 150,000 hectares of land in surrounding states.
Sadly, the project was abandoned halfway.
Hence, the menace of flooding has remained part of the
conventional lifestyle in states around the River Benue axis. “Amazingly, the
Ministry of Water Resources claimed to have built nine new dams in different
parts of the country between 2016 and 2020. Additional 11 dams are expected to
be completed before 2023. With this year’s flood, the impacts of the so-called
“nine completed dam projects” are insignificant. What then is the issue with
the Dasin Hausa Dam which has been abandoned for about four decades and experts
believe is the main cause of incessant flooding in many states in Nigeria? As
always, politicians would rather complete cosmetic projects that assure them of
quick personal monetary returns at the expense of the overall societal interest
(welfare). This is unpatriotic.
Sadly, as is the tradition, government ministries and agencies,
along with their political appointees and officials, are already having a field
day in the following areas (i) displaying disturbing statistical data of flood
victims; (ii) the blame game; and (iii) the reactive measure syndrome. For
instance, the Federal Government has churned out certain frightening statistics
characterising the hellish condition suffered by flood victims: 82,053 houses
decimated, over 600 people killed, over 1.4 million displaced, and a total of
332,327 hectares of land submerged, just to mention a few. On the blame game
front, the government said several warnings were issued to state governments,
but they failed to advance necessary measures to prevent the depth of the
devastation.
Meanwhile, state governments have lamented the lack of
infrastructure and insufficient resources in mitigating the possible impact of
flooding. While the Buhari administration adopted its typical reactive measure
by dispatching officials to open bilateral talks with the Cameroonian
authorities, the Minister of water resources has come out to say that only one
per cent of flood crises in Nigeria can be attributed to the Lagdo dam in
Cameroon. Moreover, the minister dismissed the historical claim that the
Nigerian government was supposed to build a Dasin Hausa dam.
From commonsense empirical observation, there is abundant proof
that the harmful effect of flooding is greater on poor communities than in
towns and cities. In an era of uncontrollable floods, economic security and
societal prosperity are threatened as an unquantifiable proportion of private
and public assets, along with agricultural produce, are decimated.
Thus, the societal cost of flooding is usually difficult to
quantify economically. By my self-induced rule of thumb, the estimated economic
cost of this year’s flooding incurred by Nigerians runs into tens of trillions
of naira. However, there are economic implications that governmental
authorities should manage with caution. (i). The flood in Bayelsa state has
made the Nigerian Liquified Natural Gas (NLNG) Company declare a force majeure.
The economic implication is that there will be a temporary hike in the price of
Gas in Bayelsa state with likely spillover effect on neighbouring states like
Rivers and Delta. (ii).
The many destruction of farm crops and submergence of farmlands
would cause food insecurity, leading to food inflation in the coming months. To
guard against this impending food inflation, there should be a temporal opening
of the border for the influx of agricultural items up to the first quarter of
2023. (iii). No matter what it cost the economy to complete the Dasin Hausa Dam
should be done to avert another unquantifiable economic loss. This time, a
stitch in time will surely save nine.
*Dr.
Eromosele teaches at the Federal University Otuoke, Bayelsa State
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