Calls for the rebirth of the defunct Republic of Biafra have been
increasingly heard on the streets of Nigeria in recent times. Following the reunification of Nigeria and
Biafra in 1970, the world looked forward to a new Nigeria without the ethnic-tinged
political injustices that had alienated one of the most important ethnicities
in Nigeria – the Igbos and their near-kins – to the point of seeking a country
of their own by force in 1967.
But soon enough, it became clear that, rather
than do the sensible thing, some successive Nigerian regimes have used unitary
tactics to further alienate the Biafrans that inhabit Nigeria’s oil belt. While
some previous regimes had made-pretend that this was not the case, the current
regime that came to power some four years ago has made no secret of its disdain
for the former Biafrans.
This disdain has lately spread to other
ethnicities as well, especially the minorities in central Nigeria and the
Yorubas in the southwest of the country, thus leading to the notion that Mr.
Buhari, a Fula, is driving a neo-supremacist agenda aimed at elevating his own
people to the status of the new suzerains of Nigeria. In other words, Buhari is
unwittingly engaged in a course of ‘reverse separatism’ from the very top as
President.
Late last month, Nigeria’s former President,
Olusegun Obasanjo virtually accused Buhari of stoking ‘fulanisation and
Islamisation’ of Nigeria; and on July 15, Obasanjo published an ‘open letter’
warning Buhari that his ‘hateful’ policies are fueling agitations that might
disintegrate the country.
Before this, a former Nigerian army chief who had
fought Biafra, Theophilus Danjuma had submitted a petition to the UK Parliament
alleging essentially the same thing; and this is after he had called on his
people of central Nigeria to prepare to defend themselves. On the global stage,
President Trump, VP Pence, and others have expressed concerns on the rising
spate of an unchecked mass slaughter of Christians by non-State actors – the
Fulani herdsmen – who are credibly suspected of being pampered by Mr. Buhari.
Before all these, Nigerians appeared to have
succumbed to this new low until the coming of a fiery British citizen of Igbo
ethnicity, by name of Nnamdi Kanu. He alone is responsible for the recent
reawakening of the passions that have managed to push-back at President
Buhari’s evident mistreatment of the region of Nigeria that was once Biafra, a
region Buhari has derisively referred to as ‘five per cent’ of Nigeria after
failing to win its electoral support.
The rapid-fire growth of the Biafra
independence movement since early 2016 is proof of its rising popularity and
lends credence that all is not well in Nigeria of the current era. To some
degree, Kanu’s consistency and near-prophetic renderings have encouraged non-Biafrans
to now be speaking more boldly of a ‘restructured’ Nigeria. Mirroring Mr. Kanu,
some have even ramped it up to calling for outright dismemberment. This
includes ranks that had enthusiastically joined in fighting Biafrans in 1967.
Kanu leads an internationally coordinated and
well-organised group best known by its acronym – IPOB, which has disavowed the
military option (unlike in 1967) but is instead calling for a well-ordered
separation through a referendum.
In September 2017, governors from the Biafran
region were already talking with Kanu when Buhari ordered his military to crack
down on him and his followers, leading to many casualties. This – plus other
recent military excesses against IPOB – has increased domestic and
international support for Biafra’s self-determination. The Nigerian
government’s military response was wrong and silly if the intention was to
compel Biafra’s loyalty or get the gutsy Kanu to back down.
The absence of provocation for the military
operation expectedly led to the credible suspicions that the Nigerian
government merely wanted Kanu dead as a means of breaking the ‘stubborn’
Biafrans and discouraging other ethnicities from following the same path.
Independence movements commonly start with a small number of idealists, yet quickly grow when central governments respond with repression.
Independence movements commonly start with a small number of idealists, yet quickly grow when central governments respond with repression.
In such circumstances, the desire for freedom
takes deeper root and flourishes the more. So, the initial responses of central
governments to such movements are critical to their ultimate outcome. While
that of Scotland, Quebec and a few others slowed due to the pacifist approaches
of their central governments, that of Nigeria appears to be on a geometric
rise. It’s not hard to figure out why. It happened in the former Soviet bloc.
There are currently millions of open followers
of Kanu and many more that are passive. This is perhaps part of the reason the
government of Buhari panicked and decided to pursue the military option. Yet,
the bloodshed and trauma such approach has wrought are well in excess of any
practical gains for Nigeria’s nominal unity and appears to have strengthened
the resolve of the agitators, in addition to winning them new friends in
Nigeria and abroad.
All considered, with high risks to its leaders
and the uncertain path to success, a secessionist movement is rarely about a
lack of patriotism for one’s mother country but is often a pragmatic response
to the injustices of such mother country. Even with popular support, these
movements rarely have the military capacity to impose their will on the state
from which they intend to secede. It, instead – like IPOB – seeks to raise the
national consciousness to a point where it hopes will encourage genuine
dialogue for a better, looser union or a ‘velvet’ divorce, as we saw in Czechoslovakia.
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